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Pick Six: QB battle between Geno Smith and C.J. Stroud plus Ashton Jeanty facing top-ranked Houston defense leads Week 16 conversation

No. 7 back in action.

Head Coach Pete Carroll confirmed Friday that Geno Smith, who was a full participant in practice this week, will suit up against the Houston Texans after missing last Sunday's game.

Lingering back and shoulder injuries suffered in Week 14 forced Smith out of action for a week. In his stead, Kenny Pickett went 15-of-25 for 64 yards and an interception in the Raiders' 31-0 loss to the Eagles.

While the Raiders offense should benefit from Smith's return, the quarterback hasn't had an ideal season with the Silver and Black. He's thrown the second-most interceptions in the league and is tied with Cam Ward and Justin Herbert for taking the most sacks.

Houston, their defense is a problem

Unfortunately for a returning Smith and his offense, the Houston Texans are a well-oiled machine on defense.

Heading into Week 16, the Texans rank No. 1 in fewest points (228) and yards (3,769) allowed to opposing offenses. They also rank top 10 in the league in interceptions (16), quarterback sacks (38) and tackles for loss (73). The Texans' starting edge rushers, Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, are the only teammates in the NFL with double-digit sack totals. Houston also has three defensive backs with double-digit passes defensed – Kamari Lassiter, Jalen Pitre and All-Pro cornerback Derek Stingley Jr.

Meanwhile, the Raiders offense has scored the fewest points (196) and totaled the least yards (3,418) this season.

"They're good on all three levels," quarterbacks coach Greg Olson said of Houston's defense. "Really their D-line and linebackers and secondary are playing really, really well right now. So, it's not a surprise when you watch them on tape as to where they're at right now defensively and statistically across the board. They're good in a lot of areas."

Unlocking Jeanty

While the Texans defense has been dominant, Ashton Jeanty's usage could provide a path to neutralize them.

Since the Raiders' Week 8 bye week, the rookie running back has recorded 34 receptions on 44 targets for 180 yards and two receiving touchdowns. Per Next Gen Stats, his target rate has also increased from 17.9 percent to 25 percent since the bye week, with 294 yards after the catch (third-most among running backs) and 12 missed tackles on his receptions (most among running backs).

As for the Texans defense, they're tied for 11th-most missed tackles (85). Therefore, getting Jeanty the football in open space could be a beneficial strategy for the Raiders.

"He's very good when he gets out in the open field and has a chance to square up a defensive back in the back end," Olson said. "Whether he needs to make him miss or run him over, he can do both. So, we do like what we see when we get him in open field, and we like his toughness inside."

A look at Texans QB1

Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has been playing some of best football as of late as the team tries to clinch a playoff berth.

The Pro Bowler had some struggles early in the season, which included missing three games of action while in concussion protocol. Since returning to the field in Week 13, he's led his team to three straight wins while throwing for 739 yards and four touchdowns.

"He is playing well," Pete Carroll said. "His pick numbers are way down. He's in great shape with moving around to make the pocket available and the movement available, and he scrambles to throw the football because he's really, really good at doing it. I think I probably mentioned earlier in the week, that was one of the factors I thought really jumped out in the year he came out with all those guys and that he was the best guy doing that, and he's still doing it."

It's also worth noting that Stroud has completed a career-high 66.5 percent of his pass attempts against zone this season, per NGS. The Raiders have deployed zone defense at the second-highest rate in the NFL (83.9 percent) while allowing the second-highest completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks (69.2 percent).

Bringing physicality back to Texas

The Raiders have two key defensive players lining up against their former team.

Linebacker Devin White and safety Lonnie Johnson Jr. both had stints with the Texans. White, who's currently ranked second in the NFL with 149 total tackles, appeared in seven games with Houston last season.

Johnson was a second-round pick by the Texans in 2019, and recorded 13 pass deflections and three interceptions in his 44 games played there.

"It's going to be a physical game," Johnson said. "That's how they coach out there, and that's how we've been coached over here. We're going to see what happens. It's my former team, but it is what it is."

What's on the line?

The Texans will have some added motivation against the Raiders with postseason implications on the line.

The Texans, currently standing at 9-5, are one game behind the Jacksonville Jaguars for first place in the AFC South. Currently hanging on to the seventh and final seed in the AFC, a win against the Raiders would give them a 97 percent chance of clinching a playoff berth. With a loss, that chance drops down 15 percent.

While the Raiders handed the Texans a 38-20 defeat in their last contest in 2022, the Texans have totaled at least 325 net yards in each of their last eight games against the Silver and Black.

As the Raiders get ready for their Week 16 matchup against the Houston Texans, take a look at photos from their past matchups.

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